notizie.

The US central bank turned notably dovish, cementing the case for a low interest rate environment that could divert previous headwinds for emerging markets.

The US central bank turned notably dovish, cementing the case for a low interest rate environment that could divert previous headwinds for emerging markets. 

Chinese indicators are showing signs of stabilising amid the latest bout of fiscal stimulus, and developments in trade negotiations will be key.

Conversazione con Didier Rabattu - perché i mercati emergenti sono un’opportunità d’investimento interessante?

Didier Rabattu, head of Global equities a Lombard Odier IM, ci spiega come affrontare i cicli nei mercati emergenti.

2019 is host to the year of the Pig, which, according to Chinese astrology, symbolises a year of joy, friendships and success with wealth. Superstitions aside, a number of metrics have signalled a similar conclusion of increased wealth within EM markets, fuelling current investor confidence.

We believe there are reasons to be cautiously optimistic for Asian equities in 2019, despite an uncertain backdrop. 

A number of long-term trends are reshaping the global landscape, potentially awakening new high profile brands. Asia’s expanding middle class is one example of a trend which is driving new phases of consumption.

Energy production and use accounts for nearly two thirds of greenhouse gas emissions. This makes it a priority sector when it comes to  sustainability.

President Trump and President Xi declared a temporary trade truce at the G20 summit in Argentina on Saturday. The much anticipated dinner between the two leaders resulted in the first major breakthrough since talks broke down in May.

In this year’s outlook, we share our views on a number of macro themes which we think will be highly relevant in 2019 and their likely cross-asset implications.

It is clear that the fiscal stimulus had a big impact on US growth and was responsible for the economic outperformance in 2018, but this positive boost to the economy is now expected to fade gradually in 2019.

Understanding the drivers of the current trade war remains key to understanding current and future asset market developments, especially in emerging markets (EM). 

We think the consensus forecast for Chinese growth in 2019 is too bearish. It has been pricing a lot of negativity which we think will be offset to a certain extent by the policy moves undertaken by China. 

When it comes to growth outcomes in Europe, we expect trend growth dynamics and see the recent slowdown especially in Germany as temporary. Beyond cyclical factors, political risks in Europe, however, are likely to remain elevated going into 2019.

Global inflation dynamics overshooting is a key risk to our central scenario of a “no recession, yet tricky” year in 2019 as central banks are likely to move into unified hiking mode across the globe and the liquidity pumped into the system post-financial crisis begins to gradually unwind.

Populism, fuelled by rising inequality, is on the rise and continues to shape political outcomes in key economies. There is an argument that the policy actions taken by central banks in the aftermath of global financial crisis have been a strong contributor to widening the gap between the ‘haves’ and the ‘have-nots’ as rising asset prices is a key channel through which monetary policy works. 

The rise in global leverage we have witnessed since 2008/2009 leaves the global economic system much less resilient to any income or interest rate shocks. Since the end of the financial crisis, the world has seen a dramatic increase in the amount of leverage in the non-financial sector.

Our central scenario of a “No Recession Yet Tricky” year is likely to deliver positive macro support for risky assets, but we are also likely to see more volatility along the way.

In these live webinars, Salman Ahmed, PhD, Chief Investment Strategist, and Charles St Arnaud, Senior Investment Strategist, will share their views on all the key factors expected to shape the global economy in 2019.

The next economic revolution is already underway. We believe it will drive returns in the next three to five years and beyond and we are committed to identifying those companies which are best positioned to benefit.

Climate change is one of the greatest challenges of our time. Investors are playing an increasingly pivotal role in combating this unprecedented threat as the transition to a greener, low-carbon economy is also one of the biggest potential drivers of investment returns in history.

in conversation: Carolina Minio-Paluello on climate change

The next economic revolution is already underway. At Lombard Odier Investment Managers, we believe it will drive returns in the next three to five years and beyond. 

The US economy is in the last phase of the economic cycle that has powered markets for nearly nine years. Investors could previously look to bond market activity to gauge whether a recession was looming but it’s possible that the Federal Reserve has rendered this indicator obsolete.

Salman Ahmed, Chief Investment at Lombard Odier Investment Managers discusses the latest developments in ECB policy, the impact of Italy’s newly formed government on the Italian market and questions what the ECB can do if Italy precipitates another Eurozone crisis.

Ritesh Bamania, Head of UK Institutional Clients and Solutions at Lombard Odier Investment Managers, explains why he welcomes the DWP consultation and its efforts to put ESG risks higher up the agenda.

Salman Ahmed, Chief Investment Strategist at Lombard Odier Investment Managers, comments on the result of the Turkish presidential election.

Following a month of intense pressure on the Turkish Lira (TRY) and repeated market calls for official intervention, the Central Bank of Turkey (CBRT) took action last night at an emergency meeting by hiking the Late Liquidity Window Lending (LLW) rate by 300bps to 16.5%. All other rates were left unchanged, however, the Turkish central bank reiterated that it ‘will continue to use all available instruments in pursuit of the price stability objective’.

The nervous reaction of investors to political developments in Italy highlights concerns over the implications for Eurozone stability. While it is too early to have a clear view of how the situation will develop, we believe that now is the time for investors to assess their exposure to European assets, especially Italy and the rest of the periphery.

After a prolonged period of depreciation, the US dollar has strengthened in recent weeks. Is this the sign of a sustained shift taking hold? What does it mean for investors?

Bertrand Gacon, Head of Impact Office, Guillaume Bonnel, Head of Impact Investing at Lombard Odier Investment Managers (LOIM) and Stuart Kinnersley, Managing Partner at Affirmative Investment Management (AIM) celebrate the first anniversary of LO Funds–Global Climate Bond, a joint initiative between LOIM and AIM. They discuss a flourishing green bond market and what investors can expect in the near future.

At its ‘Rethink Responsible Capital’ symposium held in Zurich on 12^th March, Lombard Odier Investment Managers (Lombard Odier IM) gathered political, business and investment leaders to discuss how the world is changing in the face of significant social and environmental challenges, and how investors can gear portfolios for this new paradigm.

A sustainability revolution is underway, which will drive economic and investment outcomes over the long term.

On 12 March, the Lombard Odier Rethink Responsible Capital symposium brought together political, business and investment leaders to discuss how our world is changing in the face of significant social and environmental challenges, and how investors can gear their portfolios for this new paradigm.

As Al Gore, former US Vice President and co-founder of Generation Investment Management told the audience during his keynote speech: “The sustainability revolution is the single largest investment opportunity in history.”

Over the last few days, the markets have been increasingly focused on the specter of a global trade war, triggered by the recent US policy announcement. The Trump administration’s decision to slap tariffs on steel and aluminum caught the market by surprise on Friday. In addition, the rhetoric accompanying the tariffs announcement has been very sharp, led by President Trump himself, and has led to both the EU and Canada reacting with concrete warnings of their own.

Lombard Odier Investment Managers announces the appointment of Arnaud Langlois to launch a global equity long/short investment strategy with a sustainability focus.

In the first year of his presidency, Donald Trump has been less aggressive on trade than expected, especially considering his rhetoric during the campaign.

The Insurance Linked Strategies (ILS) team at Lombard Odier Investment Managers (‘Lombard Odier IM’) has completed its first bond transaction using blockchain, the immutable ledger for recording transactions. The team’s purchase of catastrophe bonds is believed to be among the first secondary market transaction completed on blockchain. 

Lombard Odier Investment Managers (‘Lombard Odier IM’) announces the appointment of Velida Jahic as Head of Nordics.

Lombard Odier Investment Managers (‘Lombard Odier IM’) announces the appointment of Robert Schlichting as Head of Institutional Sales for Germany and Austria, and Frank Stefes as Head of Third Party Distribution Sales for Germany and Austria, with effect from 16^th October 2017

Lombard Odier Investment Managers announces the appointment of Eric Roeleven as Head of Institutional Sales, Zurich as of 1 October 2017.

Lombard Odier Investment Managers announces the appointment of Ritesh Bamania as Head of Solutions.

Lombard Odier Investment Managers announces the launch of the Lombard Odier IM Family Offices team, to provide customised services to family offices in Europe.

Lombard Odier Investment Managers announces the appointment of Samira Sadik Dadi as Head of Third-Party Distribution, French speaking Switzerland, who joined on 1 May.

Lombard Odier IM announces the appointment of Jonathan Clenshaw to the newly created role of Head of Institutional Sales for Europe.

Lombard Odier Investment Managers has expanded its impact investment offering with the launch of the LO Funds – Global Responsible Equity, which aims to deliver quantifiable social and environmental impact hand-in-hand with excess financial performance.

Lombard Odier Investment Managers is pleased to announce that the LO Funds–Asia Value Bond fund has gained a five-star rating (highest rating) from Morningstar Ratings, effective January 2017.

Lombard Odier Investment Managers (‘Lombard Odier IM’) announce the launch of their new Global Climate Bond investment strategy to help combat climate change. This follows a strategic partnership with Affirmative Investment Management (‘AIM’), the fixed income manager dedicated to impact strategies.

Lombard Odier Investment Managers is partnering with Affirmative Investment Management (AIM), the fixed income manager dedicated to impact strategies, to supplement its existing impact investing capabilities and launch a new fund designed to help combat climate change in a verifiable way.

Video

In this video, Kristina Church, Head of CLIC™ (Sustainable) Solutions, identifies the key investment trends we expect to see in 2021.