insights.

As the Q1 earnings season approaches, we consider the extent to which US corporate earnings will be harmed by disruptions to the oil supply.

The growth and inflation impacts are seen by markets as risks to be hedged, while robust corporate earnings forecast support equities.

How could the Iran oil shock impact industry and inflation? We assess potential outcomes for the US, Europe and Asia. 

Simply put analyses how oil price shocks from the Middle East conflict may affect the global economy and what investors should watch.

Strong growth and subdued inflation support equity and bond markets – even as AI redistributes opportunities – with carry a key driver of potential returns.

Could market doubts about the profitability of the AI project offset the significant US economic stimulus from massive AI spending? 

Our 2026 outlook for Asia and EM sees ample liquidity, strong growth and powerful secular drivers driving a multi year opportunity set.

Our inaugural Rethink Investments event focused on how the skills of expert negotiators can assist investors making decisions in high-pressure, uncertain situations.