insights.

Do volatility forecasts benefit from range-based measures?
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Do volatility forecasts benefit from range-based measures?

The second edition of our Multi-Asset Research Series (MARS) considers how range-based measures could be used to improve volatility forecasts. 

Sustainability watch: plant-based nylon, melting ice sheets and green hydrogen
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Sustainability watch: plant-based nylon, melting ice sheets and green hydrogen

A selection of stories from April that reflect the fast-moving pace of the sustainability transition and related investment implications.

Lombard Odier Investment Managers appointed by Touchstone Investments for Climate Transition ETF
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LOIM appointed by Touchstone Investments for Climate Transition ETF

LOIM has been appointed by Touchstone Investments, as sub-adviser for its newly launched Climate Transition ETF (HEAT: Cboe BZX). 

Why are fallen angels the pick of high yield?
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Why are fallen angels the pick of high yield?

Fallen angels can improve a high-yield allocation. We explore how these bonds can be used to add convexity, and enhance ratings and risk-adjusted returns.

How could tighter bank lending impact growth?
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How could tighter bank lending impact growth?

The banking crisis has led to tighter lending conditions. We see mortgage lending as a key indicator and consider how a contraction in credit could impact US growth.

Fixed income: performance drivers as peak rates approach
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Fixed income: performance drivers as peak rates approach

In the Q2 issue of Alphorum, we highlight the opportunity that peaking rates signal in sovereign fixed income and provide new insights into fallen-angels bonds. 

What our macro indicators say about this cycle
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What our macro indicators say about this cycle

Economic growth is slowing, inflation is no longer the problem and central banks should show moderation – but much will depend on the labour market.

Swiss Credit: think twice before changing strategy
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Swiss credit: think twice before changing strategy

Higher interest rates and volatility in recent years led some investors to avoid credit risk and favour passive investment. This may be misguided, in our view

FinTech: 3 years of pure-play, high-quality investing
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FinTech: 3 years of pure-play, high-quality investing

Since we launched our Global FinTech strategy three years ago, we have maintained a focus on quality growth at a reasonable price. 

Lower service productivity, higher inflation?
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Lower service productivity, higher inflation?

Inflation is higher and more persistent than ever. What can an examination of service-sector productivity tell us about this situation?

Fallen angels: beyond the downgrade
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Fallen angels: beyond the downgrade

Fallen angels are a sweet spot in fixed income that merit a strategic high-yield allocation. Our active approach optimises value by avoiding falling knives.

Emissions trading: the market overlooks UK cap reforms
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Emissions trading: the market overlooks UK cap reforms

The UK has extended and could expand its Emissions Trading Scheme as part of its strengthened commitment to carbon markets, deepening the opportunity set for investors.

Multi-asset allocation requires flexibility in the face of multiple scenarios
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Multi-asset allocation requires flexibility in the face of multiple scenarios

This quarterly edition of Simply put argues that markets are heading towards four potential scenarios, given the macro picture, and explores how investors can prepare and adapt.

Sustainability watch: carbon capture, e-fuels, and high seas
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Sustainability watch: carbon capture, e-fuels, and high seas

A selection of stories from March which reflect the fast-moving pace of the sustainability transition and related investment implications.

Webinar | Multi asset: too many scenarios? Try an all-weather approach
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Webinar | Multi asset: too many scenarios? Try an all-weather approach

Multi asset: too many scenarios? Try an all-weather approach.

Do today’s banks pose a systemic risk?
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Do today’s banks pose a systemic risk?

The recent banking crisis has exacerbated existing systemic risk. Will it spill over into other sectors?

Fintech equities: are investors neglecting cybersecurity risk?
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Fintech equities: are investors neglecting cybersecurity risk?

Cyberattacks exact significant financial costs on companies – but are these being priced-in to equity valuations?

SNB wary of inflation amid seismic FX policy shifts
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SNB wary of inflation amid seismic FX policy shifts

The Swiss National Bank delivered a hawkish inflation outlook and profoundly changed how it communicates about its currency interventions. 

3 years of LOIM Climate Transition
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3 years of LOIM Climate Transition

It has been three years since the launch of our climate transition strategy, and we are moving towards an enlarged opportunity set.

Should we resist the temptation to carry?
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Should we resist the temptation to carry?

We analyse the choice investors are currently faced with, between volatile asset prices and tempting carry strategies.

Finding the value in high-carbon sectors
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Finding the value in high-carbon sectors

Our portfolios leverage an in-house methodology to gauge alignment to the climate transition. Backtesting a hypothetical portfolio showed encouraging results.

Can systemic risk come back in 2023?
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Can systemic risk come back in 2023?

We analyse the outlook for systemic risk in 2023 and find that the markets' current reduced capacity for shock absorption could trigger a harder landing.

How dangerous are 0DTE options?
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How dangerous are 0DTE options?

Will the craze for S&P 500 options with same-day expiry cause a second bout of ‘Volmageddon’ in the derivatives market?

Climate and women: a disproportionate impact
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Climate and women: a disproportionate impact

Climate emergencies lead to shortages of clean air, water, food and shelter. This puts all of humankind at risk, but climate change is not gender neutral.  

Are equities attractive now?
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Are equities attractive now?

Investors are divided on whether equity markets have bottomed out. We run five scenarios to address the question: will valuations fall further?

 An entry point for sustainable SMID caps?
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An entry point for sustainable SMID caps?

SMID valuations present an attractive entry point for investors. These companies also look set to benefit from a range of new government priorities.

Sustainability watch: electric vehicles, hydrogen power, and natural capital
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Sustainability watch: solar panels, seaweed, and hydrogen taxis

A selection of stories from February which reflect the fast-moving pace of the sustainability transition and related investment implications.

CIO views: a new era of finding alpha
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CIO views: a new era of finding alpha

As uncertainty fuels volatility and new winners surface, are active managers finding new ways to generate alpha?

Equity-bond correlations: was 2022 an outlier?
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Equity-bond correlations: was 2022 an outlier?

The last 95 years of equity and bond returns show that investors should expect what is often unexpected: simultaneous annual losses.

Will US rates peak at 5.5%, as markets expect?
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Will US rates peak at 5.5%, as markets expect?

Is the Federal Reserve likely to hike rates more than market observers are anticipating?

A real-life stress test for climate strategies
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A real-life stress test for climate strategies

2022 proved a real-life stress test for climate strategies and demonstrated the need to manage short-term risks.

A primer on range-based volatility estimators
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A primer on range-based volatility estimators

The first edition of our new Multi-Asset Research Series (MARS) begins by exploring volatility measures that use high-frequency data.

All roads, any destination: engineering smooth investment journeys
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All roads, any destination: engineering smooth investment journeys

Robust engine, responsive braking and expert navigation: our liquid multi-asset range is purpose-built for investors seeking stability, diversification and growth.

Prospects for Chinese consumers: 2023 and beyond
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Prospects for Chinese consumers: 2023 and beyond

To ensure its future prosperity, China must become a consumption-based economy. In our latest edition of Futureturns, we explore whether the consumer transition is still on track

Plastic wrap: innovations, private-equity dealflow for circularity
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Plastic wrap: innovations, private-equity dealflow for circularity

We launch our bimonthly coverage of the science, policy and corporate activity advancing plastics circularity

Will China grow old before it grows rich?
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Will China grow old before it grows rich?

Can China transition to a high-income economy without the favourable demographic tailwinds that helped shape the preceding four decades?

Hard or soft landing? Macro adaptation in multi asset
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Hard or soft landing? Macro adaptation in multi asset

With growth overtaking rates as the dominant macro force driving market returns, how should multi-asset investors respond?

What the latest US jobs data say about recession risk
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What the latest US jobs data say about recession risk

US job growth accelerated sharply in January. What does this indicator tell us about the risk of recession?

Carbon credits: reinforcing quality for impact and returns
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Carbon credits: reinforcing quality for impact and returns

Important actions are being taken to enhance the ability of carbon credits to channel much-needed finance to protect and restore nature.

Finding the value in tail hedges
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Finding the value in tail hedges

Building effecting tail hedges can make a huge difference to a portfolio, but it requires compromises. We discuss our approach. 

60/40 portfolios: end of the road?
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60/40 portfolios: end of the road?

We tackle a pivotal question for multi-asset investors: after the ordeal of 2022, how can they earn genuine diversification?

Can inflation end without a meaningful increase in unemployment?
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Can inflation end without a meaningful increase in unemployment?

Expectation-based economics will define the odds of a soft- versus a hard-landing for our regional and world economies 

I can’t say I’m bullish
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I can’t say I’m bullish

Risk appetite measures are offering investors mixed signals. Does the current market rally have legs?

Sustainability watch: electric vehicles, hydrogen power, and natural capital
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Sustainability watch: electric vehicles, hydrogen power, and natural capital

A selection of stories from January which reflect the fast-moving pace of the sustainability transition and related investment implications.

New food systems: precision fermentation and cultivated meat
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New food systems: precision fermentation and cultivated meat

Alternative proteins can help enable land restoration and reduce emissions. Our latest case study examines two of the newer business models in this field.

Convertible bonds: the weather forecast for 2023
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Convertible bonds: the weather forecast for 2023

We believe convertible bonds offer an effective way to navigate an uncertain macro environment. At LOIM, we see a number of investment themes and opportunities in 2023.  

2023 has begun with an inflation-relief rally
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2023 has begun with an inflation-relief rally

A defensive approach is no longer seen as a necessity, but the situation calls for caution at this stage of the cycle.

Fixed income: attractive entry points as markets carry on
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Fixed income: attractive entry points as markets carry on

In the Q1 issue of Alphorum, we focus on how attractive carry and risk-return dynamics in credit underpin our constructive outlook for fixed income, offering entry points for active investors. 

Asian credit outlook: a bright spot in 2023
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Asian credit outlook: a bright spot in 2023

Our outlook for Asian fixed-income markets in 2023 considers: What's next for China? How will USD bond supply play out? Where are the top picks for investors?

FinTech trends to watch in 2023
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FinTech equities: trends to watch in 2023

Excessive valuations in our FinTech universe are now largely gone, contributing to a positive 2023 outlook, in our view.