Hedge funds: avoiding the crowds

better risk-reward.

At 1798 we have always believed that returns are much better on a risk-adjusted basis when an investment opportunity is starved for capital. As such, we look for opportunities and areas where there is less trading and no crowdedness. Ultimately, however, returns are driven by flows as well as value, so we do want company at some point. Others need to recognise the opportunity eventually. 


Ultimately, returns are driven by flows as well as value, so we do want company at some point.
 

We often see contrarian investing as having better risk-rewards: if no one expects a trade to work, there are fewer potential pitfalls. The reward doesn’t come right away, though, given the time it takes for flows to arrive. Mixing contrarian opportunities with more momentum themes when constructing portfolios is a great idea, as they are perfectly complementary (the risk-reward gradually diminishes, but it can continue to earn for a long time). 

In both cases, detailed fundamental work remains necessary to avoid investment traps.
 

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author.

LOcom_AuthorsAM-Khaw.png

Christophe Khaw
CIO, 1798 Platform

after the bell.

after the bell.

What is your dream guest list for a dinner party? 

I would invite the following people to dinner:

  • The poet Horace because who else than the person who invented ’carpe diem’ should be part of a dinner?

  • American investor and hedge fund manager Mike Burry, because I want to understand his view on China

  • American entrepreneur, venture capitalist and political activist Peter Thiel, because we disagree on most subjects, and I think exchanging ideas is eye-opening

  • Iranian politician, author, and lawyer Mohammad Mosaddegh, because I like history and am fascinated by his ending and what was then to come
     

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