Convertible bonds: duality allows for contrarian convictions

a more balanced profile.

The defining quality of convertible bonds – combining equity upside potential with fixed-income characteristics – offers a unique opportunity for investors to adopt a contrarian approach. When markets become overly optimistic, convertible bonds allow investors to participate in potential gains but also benefit from downside protection. As a consequence, the asset class can offer a more balanced risk-reward profile than an equity exposure, particularly when positioning in a volatile name.

locking in upside, seeing through corrections.

Implementing a disciplined profit-taking strategy on the upside is crucial because it enables investors to crystallise gains while maintaining the flexibility to reinvest at more attractive prices. This helps mitigate potential losses and enhance overall portfolio resilience and reflects a more conservative approach to investing that prioritises capital preservation by securing returns rather than riding out market fluctuations.


Implementing a disciplined profit-taking strategy on the upside is crucial
because it enables investors to crystallise gains
while maintaining the flexibility to reinvest at more attractive prices.
 

We apply the same logic during market corrections. Stock prices have been subject to sizeable price moves during recent earnings seasons, but assessing the credit quality and understanding the equity stories of companies helps us to form convictions that can support contrarian views. Such discipline helps us manage volatility and target enhanced long-term returns while maintaining flexibility in capital allocation.

This duality enables contrarian investors to capitalise on discrepancies between bond valuations and equity sentiment, positioning themselves to benefit from any eventual market correction and subsequent recovery.
 

click here to explore our convertible bond strategy.

contrarian moves.

Our high-conviction strategy benefits from the deep and diverse investment expertise on our desk, enabling us to act swiftly to capitalise on market inefficiencies to make contrarian moves. For example, when a position experiences a significant decline, our team is prepared to invest in line with our convictions while others may sell due to widening credit spreads. 

This approach can be profitable from both thematic and regional standpoints. Recent examples include:

  • Investing in sectors such as utilities or real estate, which have been overlooked but are likely to benefit from falling interest rates and long-term trends like generative artificial intelligence, electrification and the climate transition 
  • Adding to holdings in small- or mid-cap companies, which are broadly represented in the convertibles universe, rather than mega-caps 
  • While many funds are heavily exposed to the US, a contrarian exposure to China – which is now benefitting from long-awaited stimulus – has also been a profitable strategy1


By harnessing the characteristic duality of convertible bonds, contrarian investors can use the asset class to exercise their convictions. 

author.

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Arnaud Gernath
Head of Convertible Bonds 

after the bell.

after the bell.

What is your dream guest list for a dinner party? 

Great party dinners always bring diversity to the table, particularly when it comes to knowledge and entertainment. If I had the whole pool of humanity at my disposal, I would invite the following people to bring a rich mosaic of expertise, experience and expression

  • Albert Einstein for his insight on science and the universe

  • Winston Churchill for his wit, political wisdom and courage

  • Elon Musk for his vision of the future, space travel and technology

  • Warren Buffett for his timeless views of financial markets 

  • Salvador Dalí for his genius vision of our world 

  • Either Beyoncé, Aretha Franklin or Ed Sheeran, for very different reasons… Or all three together!

  • Éric Tabarly, the legendary sailor, to inspire with stories of resilience and passion

  • Hélène Darroze, the six-Michelin-star chef, because exceptional food undoubtedly graduates a good party to a dream one

  • To balance gravitas with humour, Greek philosophers like Plato or Socrates would offer deep thoughts on the world while Ricky Gervais or Sacha Baron Cohen would take the other side of the trade 
     

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