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Higher US tariffs: winners and losers
multi-assetAll Roads
multi-assetAll Roads

Higher US tariffs: winners and losers

How heavily could higher US tariffs impact global growth? Simply put uses historical precedents to forecast the effects and calibrate how our multi-asset portfolios should respond.
Trump’s tariffs: inflationary after all?
multi-assetAll Roads
multi-assetAll Roads

Trump’s tariffs: inflationary after all?

Markets expect a hike in US tariffs to 10% on all imports to drive a surge in domestic inflation. This week in Simply put, we assess the potential short- and longer-term impacts.
US real rates are rising: how could they impact 2025 market returns?
multi-assetAll Roads
multi-assetAll Roads

US real rates are rising: how could they impact 2025 market returns?

The profitability and valuations of large-cap equities could shift in 2025 as a result of the continuing rise in short- and long-term US real rates, our analysis shows.
Tax reductions and deficits: lessons from Reagan to Trump
multi-assetAll Roads
multi-assetAll Roads

Tax reductions and deficits: lessons from Reagan to Trump

As markets become concerned about rising deficits, Simply put tests whether lowering taxes delivers on the theoretical promise to generate better tax returns.  
How could US fiscal slippage impact markets?
multi-assetAll Roads
multi-assetAll Roads

How could US fiscal slippage impact markets?

Spending promises from US election candidates have spurred a repricing of bond risk. Simply put explores how budget deficits affect asset classes.
Upbeat macro, moody market
cross assetconvertibles
cross assetconvertiblesequitiesfixed incomemulti-asset

Upbeat macro, moody market

We outline convictions and allocation calls for our long-only strategies, given the US macro picture, Europe’s economic divergence and China’s stimulus.
As central banks ease, why are long-term rates rising?
multi-assetAll Roads
multi-assetAll Roads

As central banks ease, why are long-term rates rising?

With signs of cyclical improvement in economic data and rising US inflation pressures, Simply put assesses the long-term path of rates.
Inflation: to hedge or not to hedge?
multi-assetAll Roads
multi-assetAll Roads

Inflation: to hedge or not to hedge?

The consensus view is that inflation is declining – yet our nowcasting indicators point to building inflationary pressures. In this context, key hedges like inflation-linked bonds and commodities seem undervalued, in our view.
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