insights.

The interplay between more balanced growth momentum and fiscal consolidation in 2025 could fuel market volatility, reinforcing the case for diversification. 

Donald Trump’s return to the White House marks an end to free trade. We consider what this might mean for global markets and emerging markets in particular. 

Each December, the so-called Santa rally glides into investment discourse. Do equities really perform more strongly into the end of each year, and can we expect an extension on 2024’s already robust gains?

How heavily could higher US tariffs impact global growth? Simply put uses historical precedents to forecast the effects and calibrate how our multi-asset portfolios should respond.

Markets expect a hike in US tariffs to 10% on all imports to drive a surge in domestic inflation. This week in Simply put, we assess the potential short- and longer-term impacts.

The profitability and valuations of large-cap equities could shift in 2025 as a result of the continuing rise in short- and long-term US real rates, our analysis shows.

As markets become concerned about rising deficits, Simply put tests whether lowering taxes delivers on the theoretical promise to generate better tax returns.  

Spending promises from US election candidates have spurred a repricing of bond risk. Simply put explores how budget deficits affect asset classes.